Facilities Five

Key Trends We See Shaping Independent Schools in 2025: Facilities & Operations Insights

Written by HBM Operations | Feb 11, 2025 1:30:00 PM

Independent schools in California are adapting to shifting enrollment patterns, evolving sustainability regulations and opportunities, as well as rapid technological advancements—all of which directly influence facilities management, budget planning, and campus operations.

From the rise of AI and Maintenance 4.0 to the ongoing push toward green energy and sustainability, schools must ensure their campuses remain efficient, cost-effective, and adaptable to future demands. In this article, we explore the top trends shaping independent schools in 2025 and how proactive facilities management can drive long-term success.

Enrollment Shifts and Their Impact on Facilities Planning

Recent data from the National Association of Independent Schools (NAIS) indicates that nearly two-thirds of independent schools have grown since 2019-2020, with day schools demonstrating the most resilience while boarding schools face more significant enrollment declines.

In California’s major metro areas, enrollment trends largely mirror this national growth. While 36% of San Francisco schools and 38% of Los Angeles schools reported enrollment declines, the majority of schools in both regions—over 60%—either remained steady or experienced growth. With the median enrollment per independent school rising from 385 students in 2019-2020 to 404 in 2023-2024, it’s clear that independent education continues to be a strong choice for families despite broader demographic shifts.

What This Means for Facilities Management

For growing schools, facilities teams must evaluate how existing spaces are utilized and where investments in expansion, sustainability, and infrastructure efficiency can drive the greatest impact. Schools experiencing enrollment shifts must assess whether their current physical assets align with their evolving needs, ensuring that underutilized spaces do not become financial liabilities.

The Shift to Integrated Facilities Management (IFM)

Traditionally, many independent schools have operated with a decentralized approach to facilities management, where maintenance, security, energy management, and campus operations function as separate entities. However, as operational costs rise and efficiency becomes paramount, Integrated Facilities Management (IFM) is emerging as the preferred model for independent schools seeking to streamline costs and optimize campus operations.

By consolidating facilities-related functions into a cohesive, data-driven strategy, IFM allows schools to reduce redundancies, centralize oversight, and leverage data analytics to make more informed decisions. This not only enhances efficiency but also enables school leadership to focus on long-term financial planning rather than reactive problem-solving.

Adopting an IFM approach can lead to:

  1. Improved cost control and budget predictability
  2. Enhanced coordination between maintenance, security, and sustainability initiatives
  3. Better risk management through proactive facilities assessments and upgrades

For independent schools navigating fluctuating enrollments and evolving infrastructure needs, IFM is a crucial step toward ensuring greater financial and operational resilience.

AI-Driven Facilities Management and the Evolution of Maintenance 4.0

Artificial intelligence (AI) and predictive analytics are redefining the way independent schools approach campus maintenance and operations. As Eric Hudson, a strategic technology consultant quoted in the NAIS 2024-2025 Trendbook, puts it:

"We should recognize that we are not in a position to decide if AI should be in our schools or not. Like the arrival of technologies that preceded it, AI is and will become deeply integrated into our lives, often in ways that we are barely aware of."

In facilities management, this shift is already well underway. Schools are beginning to leverage AI and Maintenance 4.0 strategies to improve operational efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance safety. Unlike traditional reactive maintenance models, Maintenance 4.0 employs real-time data from IoT sensors, AI-driven analytics, and automated systems to predict and prevent equipment failures before they happen.

This allows schools to:

  • Reduce costly emergency repairs by addressing potential failures before they occur

  1. Optimize energy use through automated HVAC and lighting adjustments
  2. Strengthen security with AI-enhanced surveillance and threat detection

The result is a campus that is not only smarter and more efficient but also safer and more adaptable to future technological advancements.

Sustainability and Resilient Campus Design

California’s push for sustainability continues to shape how independent schools approach facilities management. The 2025 implementation of AB 2208, which mandates the phasing out of non-LED lightbulbs, serves as a clear example of how regulatory shifts require proactive planning in energy efficiency and environmental responsibility.

Beyond compliance, sustainability initiatives present an opportunity for schools to reduce operational costs while demonstrating a commitment to long-term environmental stewardship. Investing in solar energy, smart building systems, and high-efficiency HVAC upgrades not only aligns with sustainability goals but also yields measurable financial benefits over time.

Budgeting and Long-Term Capital Planning

Strategic facilities management is no longer about just maintaining infrastructure—it plays a direct role in a school's financial health and long-term planning. Schools that delay necessary repairs or upgrades often find themselves facing exponentially higher costs over time, as small maintenance issues escalate into costly emergency repairs.

Effective capital planning requires data-backed decision-making, ensuring that facilities investments align with both operational needs and financial sustainability. Schools that proactively assess and manage their infrastructure can:

  1. Forecast capital expenses with greater accuracy, reducing the risk of unexpected costs
  2. Align facilities investments with long-term institutional goals, ensuring that budgets reflect strategic priorities
  3. Leverage data to strengthen grant and funding applications, demonstrating a justifiable need for improvements and sustainability initiatives

At many campuses we serve, Facilities Condition Assessments (FCAs) have proven invaluable in helping school leadership assess, plan, and execute infrastructure decisions that impact every aspect of their operations. By conducting comprehensive evaluations, we have helped schools identify enrollment-driven space needs, prioritize sustainability upgrades, integrate smart technologies, and develop long-term capital plans that balance immediate needs with future growth. FCAs serve as a proactive roadmap, ensuring that facilities investments are strategic, cost-effective, and aligned with the evolving needs of students, faculty, and the broader school community.

The Future of Facilities Management in Independent Schools

As independent schools adapt to the challenges and opportunities of 2025, facilities management will play an increasingly central role in shaping institutional success. Whether navigating enrollment fluctuations, integrating AI-driven operational strategies, or investing in sustainable infrastructure, school leadership must take a proactive, data-driven approach to ensure their campuses remain resilient, efficient, and financially sustainable.

For schools looking to optimize their facilities operations, reduce costs, and continue to foster dynamic learning environments that meet evolving student and faculty needs, strategic facilities planning has proved essential.

Let’s Talk Strategy

To help you get started download our Independent School's Facilities Planning & Budgeting Self-Assessment.

If your school is considering a Facilities Condition Assessment or looking for guidance on optimizing campus operations, we’re here to help. Smart Planning Starts HereSchedule a 15-minute complimentary strategy call to explore how we can optimize your school’s facilities and future-proof your campus.